Why You Should Be Wary Of The Bitcoin Rally With BTC At $22,000


Bitcoin has been slowing down on its bullish momentum after crossing the barrier at $22,000 and $23,000. The cryptocurrency nonetheless holds a few of its positive aspects from final week however may be poised for a re-test of decrease ranges.

At the time of writing, BTC’s value trades at $22,900 with a 2% loss within the final 24 hours and an 8% revenue over the previous week.

BTC’s value transferring sideways on the 4-hour chart. Source: BTCUSDT Tradingview

This Bitcoin Bear Market Might Not Be Like 2020

Crypto market contributors appear to be in pursuit of a fast and chronic uptrend, just like the one seen in 2020. At that point, BTC’s value drop to a low of $3,000 after which started an ascend to its present all-time highs.

However, buying and selling agency QCP Capital believes the worth of Bitcoin and different massive cryptocurrencies may see extra sideways motion and draw back stress earlier than reclaiming misplaced territory. This value motion may be extra just like the 2018 bear market.

The agency believes BTC’s value will profit throughout Q3, 2022. During this era, the cryptocurrency may try to reclaim greater ranges, however with a possible to interrupt above vital resistance areas capped by elevated promoting stress from the Bitcoin mining sector and crypto corporations struggling as a result of bearish pattern.

BTC’s value motion may proceed to function on unsure grounds with “uneven strikes” with an alternate narrative between bullish and bearish with a vital resistance at $28,700 to the upside and demanding help at $10,000 to the draw back.

The latter matches the 85% crash that BTC’s value skilled in the course of the 2018 bear market.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSDT Chart 1
Source: QCP Capital

Crypto Recovery Will Be Slow But Spells Long-Term Bullishness

In 2017 when the worth of Bitcoin reached its earlier all-time excessive at $20,000, the crypto market adopted with a large rally. By 2018, the sector entered a multi-year bear market with the worth of main cryptocurrencies dropping over 80% of their worth taking down buying and selling liquidity with it.

QCP Capital believes the sector has entered a brand new age of extra maturity and resilience. The present draw back promoting stress has seen excessive liquidity in a strong setting with much less volatility throughout massive cryptocurrencies.

In addition, institutional curiosity in Bitcoin and Ethereum has been persistent regardless of the draw back value motion. In truth, QCP information a rise in “each buying and selling and investments” from these entities.

In the long run, this resilience within the face of excessive inflation and a hawkish Federal Reserve will translate into a large rally. The buying and selling agency in contrast the potential development of the crypto ecosystem, for the decentralized finance sector, with the Nasdaq 100.

As seen beneath, the crypto sector has been following the preliminary years of the Index and may pattern decrease over the approaching years earlier than it lastly reaches world adoption. Over the subsequent decade that implies:

(…) that the long run might be a crypto-dominated one. The identical method each firm on the earth at this time is, to some extent, an web firm. We consider in a 5-10 years from now, each firm might be, not directly, a crypto firm.

Crypto Bitcoin BTC BTCUSDT Chart 2
Source: QCP Capital

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